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2024-12-14 04:51:53

With the general election approaching, German Chancellor Angela Scholz supports reducing the value-added tax on basic groceries. German Chancellor Angela Scholz said in an interview on the evening of December 10th local time that he was in favor of reducing the value-added tax on basic groceries from 7% to 5% to help low-income families cope with inflation. The center-left leader also said that although the opposition Conservative Party has a big lead in the polls, he is confident of winning the early election on February 23rd.New Zealand appoints WINSTON PETERS as Minister of Railways.TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.


GM will withdraw from the driverless taxi business, and the Cruise self-driving car division of GM will withdraw from the driverless taxi business. According to a statement on Tuesday, Cruise and GM's technical team will be combined to focus on developing autonomous driving and advanced driver safety technology for GM's future sales models. GM said that it will no longer provide funds for the development of self-driving taxis "considering the large amount of time and resources needed to expand its business scale and the increasingly fierce competition in the self-driving taxi market". The company said that giving up the development of self-driving taxis will save it more than $1 billion in annual costs.Huatai Securities: 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies help the film to pick up. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the sector. Huatai Securities Research Report said that the National Film Bureau launched the "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" on December 9, and the "consumption season" will be from December 2024 to February 2025. A total of not less than 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies will be invested; On the supply side, movies for the Spring Festival in 2025 are scheduled one after another, including Bears, Gods 2 and Legend of the Condor Heroes, etc., and the head players gather, so the box office for the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. Looking forward to 2025, both ends of supply and demand are expected to improve, and the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate will be pushed upward. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the plate.Details of the life of the murder suspect of UnitedHealth Insurance Company surfaced. On Tuesday, Luigi Mangione, the suspect accused of shooting a senior executive of United Health, had a brief struggle with police officers and shouted angrily when he was taken to a court in Pennsylvania. Man Ghioni, 26, turned to a group of reporters and shouted, "... completely unsociable, insulting the wisdom of the American people!" And then pushed away by the police. It is not clear what he is referring to. On Tuesday, more clues about his possible motive gradually surfaced. According to the police, Man Ghione had a handwritten declaration when he was arrested, which can let people know his mentality. According to The New York Times, an internal report of the new york police, after analyzing the document, concluded that Man Ghioni believed that killing was a proper response to what he thought was corruption in the medical industry. It is reported that Mann Ghioni wrote in the manifesto: "These parasites deserve it". According to Mancini's friends, his social media posts and other news reports, Mancini suffers from chronic back pain, which limits his daily life. His profile on X-ray shows an X-ray background picture with screws and steel plates inserted into his lower back.


Galaxy Securities: Macro-policies have increased the accumulation of positive factors in bank fundamentals. The china galaxy Securities Research Report said that the macro-policy upgrade has exceeded expectations and supported the growth of bank credit. Bank spreads are still under pressure, but the release of debt cost optimization results is expected to form support. Preventing and resolving the risk orientation in key areas remains unchanged, and the asset quality and risk expectation of banks are expected to benefit. The positive factors in the fundamentals of banking operations have accumulated, and we will continue to be optimistic about the allocation value of the banking sector and maintain the recommended rating. For individual stocks, ICBC, China Construction Bank, Postal Savings Bank, Jiangsu Bank and Changshu Bank are recommended.ADB lowered the growth forecast of developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region to maintain China's economic growth forecast. On December 11th, the Asian Development Bank issued the Asia Development Outlook 2024 (December Edition). According to the report, the development momentum in the Asia-Pacific region is steady, but as US President-elect Trump is about to take office, changes in his trade, finance and immigration policies may inhibit the development of the Asia-Pacific region and aggravate inflation. ADB lowered its growth forecast for developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region from the previous 5.0% to 4.9% in 2024, and from the previous 4.9% to 4.8% in 2025. China's economic growth is expected to remain at 4.8% and 4.5% in 2024 and 2025 respectively, which is the same as before.South Korea's exports increased by 12.4% and imports increased by 11.6% from December 1 to 10. South Korea's chip exports increased by 43% year-on-year from December 1 to 10.

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